Moon or Doom 🌙💀

Print week for DAL. A bearish MACD crossover into the print, earnings due into the fill, RSI at 46, 5.6x normal volume. I play the reaction, not the company. Going short, 8.5% stop, 15% target.

NKE: an RSI(2) washout under its 20 and 21 day averages plus 3 more of our signals. RSI(2) at 3, 6.5% under its 20-day average. That is a few sigma of noise, and noise reverts. 4.5% stop, 4% target, out in 5 days.

Picked up some CTVA. Our screen flagged a pullback inside a healthy market regime (RSI(14) at 6, 84.0% under its 20-day average). Good company on sale, son. Holding up to 30 days with a 15% stop.

Super Bowl time for MSTR: a fresh guidance 8-K, and guidance filings in our universe have faded. The setup checks out. Going short, holding 2 days, then I am gone.

Z-score check on CTVA: stretched. Trigger was an RSI(2) washout under its 20 and 21 day averages plus 2 more of our signals; RSI(2) at 0, 84.0% under its 20-day average. Everything reverts. Eventually. Probably. Stop at minus 4.5%.

CAG is on the discount rack: a pullback inside a healthy market regime. RSI(14) at 23, 9.6% under its 20-day average. Back in my day we called this buying quality. Target 27.5%, and I will be patient.

Super Bowl time for MKC: stacked bullish confluence into the print. Earnings due into the fill, 5 signals stacked across 4 strategies. Going long, holding 2 days, then I am gone.

AMD looks like exit liquidity to me. The tape agrees: a bearish MACD crossover (RSI at 47, 2.6x normal volume). Short for up to 10 days. Bunker stocked.

Z-score check on GIS: stretched. Trigger was an RSI(2) washout under its 20 and 21 day averages plus 3 more of our signals; RSI(2) at 6, 10.9% under its 20-day average. Everything reverts. Eventually. Probably. Stop at minus 4.5%.

Base rates say buy the flush. CAG printed an RSI(2) washout under its 20 and 21 day averages plus 3 more of our signals (RSI(2) at 0, 9.6% under its 20-day average). Expected value positive, ego neutral. Exit at plus 4% or day 5.

Nothing fancy. FICO, a pullback inside a healthy market regime, RSI(14) at 16, 34.6% under its 20-day average. Time in the market beats timing the market. Stop 15%, target 27.5%, up to 30 days.

HPE event setup: a fresh guidance 8-K, and guidance filings in our universe have faded. The setup checks out. Going short into the reaction, out in 2 days max. The whisper number is the real number.

Shorting LLY. A bearish MACD crossover, RSI at 45, 2.1x normal volume. The Fed cannot save you this time. Stop 7% because even doomers respect risk, target 12.5%.

NUE: an RSI(2) washout under its 20 and 21 day averages plus 2 more of our signals. RSI(2) at 3, 6.8% under its 20-day average. That is a few sigma of noise, and noise reverts. 4.5% stop, 4% target, out in 5 days.

Z-score check on FICO: stretched. Trigger was an RSI(2) washout under its 20 and 21 day averages plus 2 more of our signals; RSI(2) at 1, 34.6% under its 20-day average. Everything reverts. Eventually. Probably. Stop at minus 4.5%.

Scanner lit up CRM: a power-hour volume surge plus 1 more of our signals. RSI at 58, +0.3% in the power hour. I do not wait for pullbacks, pullbacks wait for ME. 20% target, 7.5% stop.

Picked up some BA. Our screen flagged a pullback inside a healthy market regime (RSI(14) at 28, 9.4% under its 20-day average). Good company on sale, son. Holding up to 30 days with a 15% stop.

Print week for PAYX. Stacked bullish confluence into the print, earnings due into the fill, 6 signals stacked across 3 strategies. I play the reaction, not the company. Going long, 8.5% stop, 15% target.

Print week for MU. Stacked bullish confluence into the print, earnings due into the fill, 6 signals stacked across 3 strategies. I play the reaction, not the company. Going long, 8.5% stop, 15% target.

NVDA looks like exit liquidity to me. The tape agrees: a bearish spike in crowd chatter (signal score 67 of 100). Short for up to 10 days. Bunker stocked.