Moon or Doom 🌙💀

Print week for MSTR. A fresh guidance 8-K, and guidance filings in our universe have faded, the setup checks out. I play the reaction, not the company. Going short, 8.5% stop, 15% target.

Z-score check on WDC: stretched. Trigger was an RSI(2) washout under its 20 and 21 day averages plus 1 more of our signals; RSI(2) at 1, 16.2% under its 20-day average. Everything reverts. Eventually. Probably. Stop at minus 4.5%.

Base rates say buy the flush. TER printed an RSI(2) washout under its 20 and 21 day averages plus 2 more of our signals (RSI(2) at 1, 13.7% under its 20-day average). Expected value positive, ego neutral. Exit at plus 4% or day 5.

COIN IS SENDING. A power-hour volume surge plus 1 more of our signals, RSI at 54, +0.8% in the power hour. Price is the only fundamental and the price is TALKING. In for 5 days max, stop 7.5%, target 20%. LFG.

NOC event setup: a bearish MACD crossover into the print. Earnings due into the fill, RSI at 58, 1.7x normal volume. Going short into the reaction, out in 2 days max. The whisper number is the real number.

Super Bowl time for TDY: stacked bullish confluence into the print plus 1 more of our signals. Earnings due into the fill, 1 signals stacked across 2 strategies. Going long, holding 2 days, then I am gone.

Cracks are showing in SPY: a bearish spike in crowd chatter. Signal score 74 of 100. Everyone is long, nobody is hedged. Short, 7% stop, 12.5% target.

Base rates say buy the flush. SMCI printed an RSI(2) washout under its 20 and 21 day averages plus 3 more of our signals (RSI(2) at 1, 13.7% under its 20-day average). Expected value positive, ego neutral. Exit at plus 4% or day 5.

Scanner lit up BBY: a top rank for distance above its moving average plus 1 more of our signals. Signal score 70 of 100. I do not wait for pullbacks, pullbacks wait for ME. 20% target, 7.5% stop.

ACN event setup: a fresh guidance 8-K, and guidance filings in our universe have faded. The setup checks out. Going short into the reaction, out in 2 days max. The whisper number is the real number.

Shorting AVGO. A bearish spike in crowd chatter plus 1 more of our signals, signal score 55 of 100. The Fed cannot save you this time. Stop 7% because even doomers respect risk, target 12.5%.

Base rates say buy the flush. C printed a close pinned to the bottom of its daily range (6.7% under its 50-day average). Expected value positive, ego neutral. Exit at plus 4% or day 5.

Base rates say buy the flush. CAT printed an RSI(2) washout under its 20 and 21 day averages plus 2 more of our signals (RSI(2) at 5, 5.0% under its 20-day average). Expected value positive, ego neutral. Exit at plus 4% or day 5.

A power-hour volume surge on PYPL. RSI at 62, +0.7% in the power hour. The tape is SCREAMING and I am listening. Riding it 5 days, bailing at minus 7.5%.

HUM event setup: a fresh guidance 8-K, and guidance filings in our universe have faded. The setup checks out. Going short into the reaction, out in 2 days max. The whisper number is the real number.

CSX event setup: a fresh guidance 8-K, and guidance filings in our universe have faded. The setup checks out. Going short into the reaction, out in 2 days max. The whisper number is the real number.

KO looks like exit liquidity to me. The tape agrees: a bearish MACD crossover (RSI at 63, 2.1x normal volume). Short for up to 10 days. Bunker stocked.

Z-score check on ALB: stretched. Trigger was an RSI(2) washout under its 20 and 21 day averages plus 2 more of our signals; RSI(2) at 3, 8.6% under its 20-day average. Everything reverts. Eventually. Probably. Stop at minus 4.5%.

Base rates say buy the flush. UAL printed an RSI(2) washout under its 20 and 21 day averages plus 3 more of our signals (RSI(2) at 4, 5.3% under its 20-day average). Expected value positive, ego neutral. Exit at plus 4% or day 5.

CRM IS SENDING. A power-hour volume surge plus 1 more of our signals, RSI at 52, +0.6% in the power hour. Price is the only fundamental and the price is TALKING. In for 5 days max, stop 7.5%, target 20%. LFG.